基于模糊层次分析法的中小型水利水电工程施工风险评价.pdf

2013年11月上 施工技术 第42卷第21期 CONSTRUCTION TECHNOLOGY 51 D01:10.7672/sgjs2013210051 基于模糊层次分析法的中小型水利水电 工程施工风险评价 强跃1.2，何运祥2，刘光华3 (1.重庆交通大学水利水运工程教育部重点实验室，重庆400074； 2.重庆三峡学院土木工程学院，重庆404100；3.重庆水利水电职业技术学院水利工程系，重庆402160) [摘要]为了评价中小型水利水电工程施工风险，选取了16个影响施工风险的评价因子，根据模糊层次分析法，用 MATLAB编制了相应程序，建立了相应风险评价理论体系模型.以某中小型水利水电工程施工风险为实例，实现 了该工程施工风险评价.该方法计算结果与实际工程相符，证明了方法的可行性. [关键词]项目管理；模糊层次分析法；风险评价；有限元分析 [中图分类号]TU717 [文献标识码]A[文章编号]1002-8498(2013)21-0051-04 Construction Risk Assessment of Small and Medium-sized Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power Engineering Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Method Qiang Yue.2 He Yunxiang? Liu Guanghua (1.Key Laboratory of Hydraulic and Engineering of the Waterway Ministry of Education Chongging Jiaotong University Chongging 400074 China;2.School of Civil Engineering Chongging Three Gorges University Chongging 404100 China; 3.Water Conseruancy Engineering Department Chongqing Water Resources Electric Engineering College Chongqing 402160 China) Abstract:In order to evaluate construction risk of the small and medium-sized water conservancy and hydropower engineering and based on the principle of fuzzy level analysis method this paper selects 16 evaluation factors impacting the construction risk uses Matlab to workout corresponding subroutine and the main program functions to establish the corresponding theoretical system of risk assessment model. Selecting the construction risk of a small water conservancy and hydropower as an example construction risk assessment of ...